Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017
Burstein R., Henry N. J., Collison M. L., Marczak L. B., Sligar A., Watson S., Marquez N., Abbasalizad-Farhangi M., Abbasi M., Abd-Allah F., Abdoli A., Abdollahi M., Abdollahpour I., Abdulkader R. S., Abrigo M. R. M., Acharya D., Adebayo O. M., Adekanmbi V., Adham D., Afshari M., Aghaali M., Ahmadi K., Ahmadi M., Ahmadpour E., Ahmed R., Akal C. G., Akinyemi J. O., Alahdab F., Alam N., Alamene G. M., Alene K. A., Alijanzadeh M., Alinia C., Alipour V., Aljunid S. M., Almalki M. J., Al-Mekhlafi H. M., Altirkawi K., Alvis-Guzman N., Amegah A. K., Amini S., Amit A. M. L., Anbari Z., Androudi S., Anjomshoa M., Ansari F., Antonio C. A. T., Arabloo J., Arefi Z., Aremu O., Armoon B., Arora A., Artaman A., Asadi A., Asadi-Aliabadi M., Ashraf-Ganjouei A., Assadi R., Ataeinia B., Atre S. R., Quintanilla B. P. A., Ayanore M. A., Azari S., Babaee E., Babazadeh A., Badawi A., Bagheri S., Bagherzadeh M., Baheiraei N., Balouchi A., Barac A., Bassat Q., Baune B. T., Bayati M., Bedi N., Beghi E., Behzadifar M., Belay Y. B., Bell B., Bell
Nature
Vol.574, Issue7778, P. 353-358
Опубликовано: 2019
Тип ресурса: Статья
DOI:10.1038/s41586-019-1545-0
Аннотация:
Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2—to end preventable child deaths by 2030—we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000–2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32[%] of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58[%] of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographic
Ключевые слова:
mapping method; mortality; spatiotemporal analysis; survival; United Nations; article; child; child death; controlled study; human; infant; investment; live birth; middle income country; mortality rate; newborn; survival; childhood mortality; geography; global health; infant mortality; organization; public health; socioeconomics; United Nations; Child; Child Mortality; Geography; Global Health; Humans; Infant; Infant Mortality; Infant, Newborn; Organizational Objectives; Public Health; Socioeconomic Factors; United Nations
Язык текста: Английский
ISSN: 1476-4687
Burstein R.
Henry N. J.
Collison M. L.
Marczak L. B.
Sligar A.
Watson S.
Marquez N.
Abbasalizad-Farhangi M.
Abbasi M.
Abd-Allah F.
Abdoli A.
Abdollahi M.
Abdollahpour I.
Abdulkader R. S.
Abrigo M. R. M.
Acharya D.
Adebayo O. M.
Adekanmbi V.
Adham D.
Afshari M.
Aghaali M.
Ahmadi K.
Ahmadi M.
Ahmadpour E.
Ahmed R.
Akal C. G.
Akinyemi J. O.
Alahdab F.
Alam N.
Alamene G. M.
Alene K. A.
Alijanzadeh M.
Alinia C.
Alipour V.
Aljunid S. M.
Almalki M. J.
Al-Mekhlafi H. M.
Altirkawi K.
Alvis-Guzman N.
Amegah A. K.
Amini S.
Amit A. M. L.
Anbari Z.
Androudi S.
Anjomshoa M.
Ansari F.
Antonio C. A. T.
Arabloo J.
Arefi Z.
Aremu O.
Armoon B.
Arora A.
Artaman A.
Asadi A.
Asadi-Aliabadi M.
Ashraf-Ganjouei A.
Assadi R.
Ataeinia B.
Atre S. R.
Quintanilla B. P. A.
Ayanore M. A.
Azari S.
Babaee E.
Babazadeh A.
Badawi A.
Bagheri S.
Bagherzadeh M.
Baheiraei N.
Balouchi A.
Barac A.
Bassat Q.
Baune B. T.
Bayati M.
Bedi N.
Beghi E.
Behzadifar M.
Behzadifar M.
Belay Y. B.
Bell B.
Bell
Бурстеин Р.
Хенрy Н. Й.
Cоллисон М. Л.
Марcзак Л. Б.
Слигар А.
Wацон С.
Марqуез Н.
Аббасализад-Фарханги М.
Аббаси М.
Абд-Аллах Ф.
Абдоли А.
Абдоллахи М.
Абдоллахпоур И.
Абдулкадер Р. С.
Абриго М. Р. М.
Ачаря Д.
Адебайо О. М.
Адеканмби В.
Адхам Д.
Афшари М.
Агхаали М.
Ахмади К.
Ахмади М.
Ахмадпоур Е.
Ахмед Р.
Акал C. Г.
Акиньеми Й. О.
Алахдаб Ф.
Алам Н.
Аламене Г. М.
Алене К. А.
Алийанзадех М.
Алиниа C.
Алипоур В.
Алйунид С. М.
Алмалки М. Й.
Ал-Мехлафи Х. М.
Алтиркаwи К.
Алвис-Гузман Н.
Амегах А. К.
Амини С.
Амит А. М. Л.
Анбари З.
Андроуди С.
Анйомшоа М.
Ансари Ф.
Антонио C. А. Т.
Араблоо Й.
Арефи З.
Арему О.
Армоон Б.
Арора А.
Артаман А.
Асади А.
Асади-Алиабади М.
Ашраф-Ганйоуеи А.
Ассади Р.
Атаеиниа Б.
Атре С. Р.
Qуинтанилла Б. П. А.
Айаноре М. А.
Азари С.
Бабаее Е.
Бабазадех А.
Бадаwи А.
Багхери С.
Багхерзадех М.
Бахеираеи Н.
Балоучи А.
Бараc А.
Бассат Q.
Бауне Б. Т.
Байати М.
Беди Н.
Бегхи Е.
Бехзадифар М.
Бехзадифар М.
Белай Y. Б.
Белл Б.
Белл
Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017
Текст визуальный непосредственный
Nature
Proquest Academic Research Library
Vol.574, Issue7778 P. 353-358
2019
Статья
mapping method mortality spatiotemporal analysis survival United Nations article child child death controlled study human infant investment live birth middle income country mortality rate newborn survival childhood mortality geography global health infant mortality organization public health socioeconomics United Nations Child Child Mortality Geography Global Health Humans Infant Infant Mortality Infant, Newborn Organizational Objectives Public Health Socioeconomic Factors United Nations
Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2—to end preventable child deaths by 2030—we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000–2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32[%] of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58[%] of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographic