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Evaluation of the potential efficiency of primary prevention of drug addiction using a mathematical modeling technique

Коршунов В. А., Герасимов А. Н., Миндлина А. Я., Вязовиченко Ю. Е.
Профилактическая медицина
Т. 21, Вып. 2, С. 21-27
Опубликовано: 2018
Тип ресурса: Статья

DOI:10.17116/profmed201821221-27

Аннотация:
The relevance of the investigation is due to the need to optimize the system for the primary prevention of drug addiction and use because of its insufficient efficiency in the Russian Federation. This problem is manifested in the low awareness of the population, primarily young people, about the negative consequences of the use of narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances and about the high associated risk of their involvement in the use of narcotics, including new types of psychotropic substances (synthetic narcotics). In this connection, the aim of our investigation was to develop a method for determining the potential efficiency of measures for the primary prevention of drug addiction and use, by applying mathematical modeling. The Kermak - McKendrick epidemic model of the susceptible infected removed (SIR) - like type was used as a basis to build a drug use spread model that represented as transition of groups of individuals from one state to another in relation to drug use. This
Ключевые слова:
Anti-drug policy; Drug addiction; Drug use; Effectiveness evaluation; Mathematical modeling; Primary prevention of drug abuse; Synthetic narcotics; Young people
Язык текста: Русский
ISSN: 2309-513X
Коршунов В. А. Владимир Андреевич 1988-
Герасимов А. Н. Андрей Николаевич 1958-
Миндлина А. Я. Алла Яковлевна 1961-
Вязовиченко Ю. Е. Юрий Евгеньевич 1955-
Korshunov V. A. Vladimir Andreevich 1988-
Gerasimov A. N. Andrej Nikolaevich 1958-
Mindlina A. Ya. Alla Yakovlevna 1961-
Vyazovichenko Yu. E. Yurij Evgenyevich 1955-
Evaluation of the potential efficiency of primary prevention of drug addiction using a mathematical modeling technique
Текст визуальный непосредственный
Профилактическая медицина
Издательство Медиа Сфера
Т. 21, Вып. 2 С. 21-27
2018
Статья
Anti-drug policy Drug addiction Drug use Effectiveness evaluation Mathematical modeling Primary prevention of drug abuse Synthetic narcotics Young people
The relevance of the investigation is due to the need to optimize the system for the primary prevention of drug addiction and use because of its insufficient efficiency in the Russian Federation. This problem is manifested in the low awareness of the population, primarily young people, about the negative consequences of the use of narcotic drugs and psychotropic substances and about the high associated risk of their involvement in the use of narcotics, including new types of psychotropic substances (synthetic narcotics). In this connection, the aim of our investigation was to develop a method for determining the potential efficiency of measures for the primary prevention of drug addiction and use, by applying mathematical modeling. The Kermak - McKendrick epidemic model of the susceptible infected removed (SIR) - like type was used as a basis to build a drug use spread model that represented as transition of groups of individuals from one state to another in relation to drug use. This